The data show Jagex is winning the bot wars.
I started collecting OSRS world data back in December 2025. That data includes F2P and member servers.
With the April bot-ban data released by Jagex, we saw the inclusion of an F2P / P2P split. Roughly 97.5% of all OSRS bot bans for April were F2P (1.16 million of 1.19 million).
These bans are shrinking OSRS F2P player counts, which has become an interesting way to monitor Jagex's effectiveness at not only banning bots, but keeping them banned.
Through April, the anti-cheat data show about 6.2 million OSRS bot bans this year.
| Month | Free avg | Members avg | Free % | OSRS bot bans |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2026 | 34,233 | 148,236 | 18.8% | 1.04M |
| Feb 2026 | 30,571 | 106,105 | 22.4% | 1.41M |
| Mar 2026 | 30,598 | 93,783 | 24.6% | 2.25M |
| Apr 2026 | 21,420 | 111,124 | 16.2% | 1.19M |
| May 2026* | 13,389 | 102,102 | 11.6% | - |
In March, F2P averaged about 30,600 players and made up about 25% of OSRS player counts. In May so far, F2P is averaging about 13,400, down about 56% from the March average, and is now about 12% of OSRS player counts.
Members had a big January, but since then the Members average has mostly been between roughly 90,000 and 111,000, suggesting perhaps that bot-ban effectiveness has been more persistent for OSRS members.
Using the January-March bot bans and comparing them to the February-April world averages reveals a very strong lagged relationship for F2P: r = -0.954. With this limited data set, 1 million OSRS bot bans is associated with ~8,100 fewer average OSRS F2P players the next month.
| Test | Months | r | R2 | Effect |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bot bans -> next month F2P avg | 3 | -0.954 | 0.910 | -8,139 per 1M bans |
| Bot bans -> next month Members avg | 3 | 0.484 | 0.235 | +6,971 per 1M bans |
This is a small sample size that should be treated directionally, not as a definitive model.